Showing posts with label financial crisis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label financial crisis. Show all posts

Wednesday, November 16, 2011

Letters from Portugal: No dia 24, não vou trabalhar


Reports tell us that the protest in Lisbon on 15 October, as part of the Global Day of Protest was one of the largest demonstrations in the world on that day. This is in fact quite surprising for a country that, since the upheaval around the 25 of April 1974, has not been marked by grand demonstrations.  But then today the Portuguese have much to be afraid for; the consumerist paradise that was constructed in the years following their entry into the European Union seems to be falling apart with every passing day. Not a day passes when we are not informed that there are to be more cuts on social spending, that taxes have increased, and the Christmas bonus that is normally handed out will be culled. 

Eavesdropping on a conversation brought home the realization, that in a country marked by low salaries, the Christmas bonus, which amounts to the salary of a whole extra month, is very often the key to balancing basic household expenditures. Minus this bonus a good many homes will fall into very serious economic crises. Add to this, the general privatization of the economy and the sale of public assets. But, as if to add insult to injury are the suggestions that emanate from the Prime Ministerial Office that in the city of Lisbon, there are plans to curtail the hours of the metro system so that it stops even before midnight. This suggestion was responded to by one Portuguese person, as sending the message to the people that the role that the State had decided to play, was to only to ensure that the population could get to work. Beyond this limited objective, where the citizens are now seen as the route through which the State will pay off a debt, the State under the new leadership seems committed to abdicating its responsibilities.

It is for these reasons that the Portuguese landed up, from the leftist radicals, members of Catholic religious orders, and members of the comfortably placed Portuguese middle-class, to make their displeasure obvious. It was a heady experience, this sense of revolution; this boy getting up on one of the stone lions that sits guard before the Assembleia da República and burning a newspaper carrying the statement of the Prime Minister, the stand-off between the police and the people, and the general assembly of the people that followed. This general assembly saw divergent groups make their position, from the black boy who pointed out that it wasn’t, or it could not be just a ‘white’ thing, but the rights of the blacks in Portugal needed to be counted as well; to the person who pointed out that underneath the uniform they wore, the police-persons were their brothers, sisters, uncles, and aunts. They may stand as a force between us and the Assembleia, but they would suffer the say cuts as those on the other side of that line. And then there were those leftist radicals (one has to love them for the sense of symbolic drama they bring to any demonstration), who urged an occupation of the Assembleia. 

In the course of this public assembly emerged a voice demanding a ‘Greve Geral’, a general strike of the population of Portugal, attempting a complete paralysis of the system, indicating how widely unpopular the budgetary cuts and other fiscal interventions were. This move was, as is to be expected, widely popular at the public assembly, and has been growing in strength, with various unions pledging their support to this general strike, and public discourse and discussion around the benefits of the strike growing. How effective this strike, scheduled for the 24 day of this month, will be in paralyzing the country, and in forcing some sort of rethink of the position this country finds itself in, remains to be seen.

It was under these circumstances that a little Facebook movement, called ‘Trabalhar’, popped up. The strap-line to this title read ‘No dia 24, eu vou trabalhar’ (on the 24th I will go to work). This ‘movement’ suggests that “Portugal is in an emergency, a situation brought about by the previous government. A general strike would work only to further harm the economy and send a negative signal to the outside world. On the 24 November, I will go to work, just as I do on other days”.

What is amusing about this little ‘movement’ is that like the comment on the decision to curtail the working hours of the Lisbon Metro, it has latched onto work. It seems to suggest that all that is at issue here, is about getting to work, as if hard work is lacking in the country, and it is hard work that will resolve the issues of this country. Nothing could be further from the truth. If there is a truth about Portugal’s current crisis, it is that as was famously pointed out by Alessio Rastani in that famous interview with the BBC, it is not governments that rule the world, but rogue financial institutions that rule the world through their speculative actions. To make the strike on the 24th about working or not working then, is to deliberately obfuscate a significant point.

A good look at Portugal would cure us of the fantasy that the trivializing of larger issues to petty party politics is the unique curse of our country. Here a situation, where the governance is effectively in foreign hands, is being further compromised, not through a strike that could call for a general reckoning, but by making the issue of party politics, and viewing the whole situation from the narrow perspective of the country’s financially secure groups. Furthermore, what the general strike would prove is also that life is not about work alone. On the contrary, we work, only because we want to live. It is a shame that we are being made to apologize when we assert this right to not live by bread alone.

(A version of this post was first published in O Heraldo 13 Nov 2011)

Tuesday, July 12, 2011

Letters from Portugal: Economic Warfare

It has now turned into something like watching some perverse medieval torture, where the victim screams for mercy, and yet the tormentor keeps turning the screws, ever so slowly.

A couple of days ago, Moody’s, a credit rating agency based in the US, downgraded Portugal's rating by four notches to ‘junk’ status Ba2, while simultaneously indicating the possibility of a further downgrade. Those following the crisis in the Portuguese economy would know that the financial crisis in the country has been precipitated by similar ominous ratings that the credit rating agencies have handed out to Portugal in the recent past. This time round however, this particular credit rating has come in the wake of the newly elected government having committed to severe budgetary actions after accepting the bailout offered by the ‘troika’ consisting European Union, the IMF and the European Central Bank. The new government has raised taxes substantially, opened new areas for taxation, is contemplating the sale of public assets, and at least prior to election the current Prime Minister of the country, Pedro Passos Coelho, indicated his willingness to liberalize the Portuguese economy to a degree beyond that demanded by the troika. To downgrade the Portuguese rating further therefore, apparently based on an extrapolation from the Greek case, rather than any actual performance (or lack of it) by the Portuguese State or economy, seems particularly cruel, vindictive and unjust, and hardly professional.

Living in Portugal, I am very often asked why I moved to Portugal. The current situation in Portugal presents another reason why the temporary shift across the seas was a good idea. While the location offers a different perspective, one gains not only an intellectual learning, but is placed in an entirely different emotional position. Living in Portugal at the current moment, opens one up to the emotional trauma, the humiliation that is experienced by a nation, that while already tightening its belt, is being held hostage by financial institutions that are not only unaccountable, but in effect operate as contemporary buccaneers.

There are some, both in Goa and in other parts of the world, who will see the current situation as the just desserts of Portuguese incompetence, or some perverse form of post-colonial pay back. To see the situation in this manner however, is to miss the point entirely. The Portuguese case forces us to contemplate the rather significant issue of who exactly is making the decisions in today’s world, and the lack of effective control that governments may have over these rather unaccountable financial institutions. Not just Portugal, but the EU itself seems to have little grip on this small club of credit rating agencies. Living in the country as it deals with this unaccountability, forces a shift from the merely intellectual understanding of the issue, to the extent of the horror that accompanies such a turn of events. The slashing of the credit rating will possibly increase the interest rates that the Portuguese will have to pay to raise money, but it will also force a greater sale of the country’s assets to private parties. What this move will possibly result in therefore, is the hollowing out of the State, making it a playground for private and most probably transnational capital, geared entirely to its own interests. Given the manner in which India has been able to bounce back from the financial crisis that has lain Europe and North America low, we may not see the immediate need to address the lawlessness in the international system, but it would be in our interests, to address it now, rather than later. Learning from our own subcontinental history, we should know that when Mohammad Shah Rangeela dismissed the Afghani threat to the empire saying ‘Hunooz Dilli door ast’, it was already too late to save the Empire from the marauders. Lisbon, may not in fact be too far from Delhi.

(A version of this post was first published in O Heraldo, 10 July 2011)